Thursday, November 6, 2014

RED QUEENS AND INCREASING RETURNS

When you decided to obtain a DVD for your science fiction assignment in Module 4, where did you go find a movie based on a Philip K. Dick book?  Dis you rent or purchase a DVD, or did you view it digitally on your computer using Netflix or a similar vendor of video-on-demand?

For the above-mentioned assignment, I chose to use Prime Instant Video that is included with my Amazon Prime membership.  It is very difficult for me to find a block of time to watch movies or television programs in their entirety.  I usually have to watch movies in sections.  Having access to Prime Instant Video and Netflix accommodates my schedule (i.e. running a child care from my home, being a foster parent to four young boys and men, providing respite services, volunteering as a big sister for Big Brothers and Big Sisters of Central Massachusetts, etc…).  I also do not have to make an extra trip somewhere to rent a video.

Is the current competition between DVDs and video-on-demand an example of increasing returns or Red Queens? 

Thornburg (2008c) stated “It seems we all go through Rip van Winkle experiences every day, especially when it comes to technology.  For example, when I was in graduate school in the 1960’s, “my” computer was a huge mainframe system located several blocks from my office.  Now a mere 40 years later, this same power (and probably more) is inside my iPhone.”  This statement brought me back to when I was in high school and thought the new word processors with removable floppy disks were the greatest invention for homework.  Now a mere 30 years later, it is unbelievable the technology I know have in my household.

Thornburg (2008), states “The name “Red Queen” is attached to certain phenomena when a competition between two forces results in the rapid development of them both.”  “Red Queens exist in emerging technology.”  The example Thornburg (2008) gave is the early competition between Netscape and Microsoft for the web browser market.  Each company was vying for the greater share of the market.  The company’s knew that users would be attracted to the software with the best features.  “This resulted in a rapid series of new product releases as Netscape and Microsoft fought to stay ahead of each other in terms of features.” 

Arthur (1996), states “Increasing returns are the tendency for that which is ahead to get further ahead, for that which loses advantage to lose further advantage.  They are mechanisms of positive feedback that operate – within markets, businesses, and industries – to rein-force that which gains success or aggravate that which suffers loss.  Increasing returns generate not equilibrium but instability.” 

This being said, I believe the current competition between DVDs and video-on-demand is more of an example of Red Queens.  There is a competition between DVDs and video-on-demand but both are still trying for their share of the market.  Neither one is bringing the other to extinction at this point.

Where do you think DVDs and video-on-demand are on the four criteria of McLuhan’s tetrad?

DVDs can be in the “retrieval” part of the tetrad.  I say this because DVDs could be thought of rekindling the VHS tapes.  However, depending on how you look at the tetrad, DVDs could also be in the “obsolescence” part of the tetrad as they may be on their way to being obsolete at some point in the future.  Video-on-demand could easily be placed in the “enhancement” part of the tetrad as this method of viewing videos enhances how individuals can view movies, television shoes, etc…

References

Arthur, W. B. (1996). Increasing returns and the new world of business. Harvard Business

          Review, 74(4), 100−109. Retrieved from the Business Source Complete database.

Thornburg, D. (2008c). Red Queens, butterflies, and strange attractors: Imperfect lenses into

          emergent technologies. Lake Barrington, IL: Thornburg Center for Space.
 
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